Random Chords
One of the most common class of probabilistic questions concerns
"random triangles". For example, there's a little Dover book
called "The Surprise Attack in Mathematical Problems" by L. A.
Graham, consisting of a collection of problems and solutions
that appeared in Graham's newspaper column over the years. One
whole chapter is devoted to the problem "What is the chance that
the altitudes of a triangle may themselves form another triangle?"
In reviewing the range of answers and arguments that were
prompted by this question, Graham dryly notes that "the choice
of the optimum answer introduces matters of philosophy, esthetics,
symmetry, and even psychiatry".
A similar problem is to determine the probability that a randomly
selected chord of a regular n-gon (n>3) is shorter than the side of
the n-gon. Of course this is a variation of a familiar class of
problems, such as finding the probability that a "random chord" of
a circle is longer than the radius, and as with all such problems it
clearly depends on the assumed distribution. One common definition
of a "random chord" is to assume that the endpoints of the chord
are uniformly distributed on the perimeter of the polygon. On this
basis, there's a 1/n probability of the two ends of the chord falling
on the same edge, and a 2/n probability of falling on adjacent edges,
in which case the probability of the chord being shorter than an edge
length is just the area in the first quadrant inside the ellipse
x^2 + 2xycos(2pi/n) + y^2 = 1
giving an overall probability of
1 / 2pi/n \
--- ( 1 + ----------- )
n \ sin(2pi/n) /
Of course, other assumptions as to the distribution of "random chords"
will give different answers.
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