Bell Tests and Biased Samples

When people first hear about Bell's inequalities for the results 
of separate quantum interactions they naturally try to think of a
conventional realistic model that will reproduce the predictions
of quantum mechanics and/or the results of actual experiments.
The cannonical "realistic" model is one in which each particle is 
considered to possess a definite spin (or polarization) axis, and 
measurement along a given axis will return a positive or negative 
result corresponding to the SIGN of cos(theta) where theta is the 
difference between the spin axis and the measurement axis.  Assuming 
two "coupled" spin-1/2 particles in an EPR-type experiment have 
exactly opposite spin directions, this model agrees with the QM 
predictions when the difference "alpha" between the two measurement 
angles is 0, pi/2, and pi (i.e. the measurement angles are equal, 
perpindicular, or opposite) with correlations are 0, 1/2, and 1, 
respectively.  Of course, for intermediate values of alpha this 
basic model predicts that the correlation varies linearly, thereby 
differing from the predictions of QM as shown below


            1 |-----------------*-*/-
              |              *   /
              |            *   /
 correlation  |           *  /
              |          * /
           1/2|----------/----------       
              |        / *                   ----- basic realistic
              |      /  *                          model
              |    /   *
              |  /   *                       ***** QM predictions
            0 |/*_*_________________
              0        pi/2        pi

                            alpha

This simple model is described in all elementary introductions to 
quantum mechanics, along with an explanation of why this model
does not accurately represent what is observed.  At this point the 
typical introductory text goes on to describe the effects of 
measurement inefficiency, noting that all EPR tests to date have 
relied on relatively low detection efficiencies, leaving open the 
theoretical possibility that the data is systematically biased in 
just such a way as to mimic the predictions of quantum mechanics.

The most simplistic approach along these lines is to modify the basic 
realistic model so that it gives results approximating the predictions 
of QM for all values of alpha by supposing that a measurement of a 
particle's spin has THREE possible outcomes: positive, negative, or 
null.  The "null" outcome represents cases in which the measurement 
fails to resolve the spin of the particle.  Further, we suppose that 
a measurement is effective only if the positive or negative spin axis 
is within an arc subtended by a fixed angle "beta" centered on the 
measurement axis.

Note that the basic model assumed beta equals pi, from which it follows 
that a measurement is ALWAYS effective.  On the other hand, if beta is 
some fixed value LESS than pi, and if we neglect all particle-pairs in 
an EPR-type experiment when either of the spin measurements return 
"null", then the correlations of the remaining pairs can approximate 
the correlations predicted by QM.

For example, suppose beta equals just pi/2.  This implies that each 
individual spin measurement is effective (i.e., returns a non-null 
result) over only half the range of possible spin axes.  Now consider
an EPR-type experiment in which we measure the spins of two coupled
particles, with measurement axes that differ by alpha.  Clearly if
alpha equals pi/2 the effective ranges of the two measurements are
mutually exclusive, so we will be unable to gather any correlation 
data at all.
                       |
    M1 = null          |                      M1 = positive
    M2 = positive      |          M1 axis     M2 = null
                     * | *       /                 
                  *    |     */
                *      |   /  *
               *       |/      *
        --------------------------------
               *       |\      *
                *      |   \  *
                 *     |     *\
                     * | *       \          
     M1 = negative     |         M2 axis    M1 = null
     M2 = null         |                    M2 = negative


However, for any other value of alpha the "effective quadrants" for 
measurements 1 and 2 will overlap.  Also, notice that if alpha is less 
than pi/2 the overlap will consist entirely of disagreements, whereas 
if alpha is GREATER than pi/2 the overlap will consist entirely of 
agreements.  Thus, assuming beta=pi/2, the correlation is 0.0 for 
alpha less than pi/2, and 1.0 for alpha greater than pi/2.  The pair- 
measurement effectiveness is 0.0 at alpha=pi/2 and ramps up to 0.5
at alpha=0 and alpha=pi.

On the other hand, if we expand our assumed effectiveness arcs to
beta = 3pi/4 we will record only disagreements when alpha is less 
than pi/4, and only agreements when alpha is greater than 3pi/4, and 
the correlation will vary linearly in between (because now we can get 
some overlap "on both sides" of the spin).  Plots of correlation the 
and pair-measurement effectiveness for beta = pi, 3pi/4, and pi/2 are
shown below.
                  
                    ____3pi/4___      1  _______________________pi
     1 |           |     /     /        |
       |           |    /    /          |
       |       pi/2|   /   /pi          |                       3pi/4
 corr  |           |  /  /         eff  |\                     /
       |           | / /                |    \            /
    1/2|           |//               1/2|        \ ___ /        pi/2
       |          //                    |\                     /
       |        / /|                    |  \                 /
       |      /  / |                    |    \             /
       |    /   /  |                    |      \         /
       |  /    /   |                    |        \     /
     0 |/_____/____|                  0 |          \ /
       --------------------------       --------------------------
        0        pi/2        pi         0          pi/2         pi
                      alpha                               alpha

The correlations based on an assumption of beta = 3pi/4 clearly resemble 
the cosine curve predicted by QM, and if we refine our "effectiveness" 
model so that the chances of a "null" result vary smoothly with theta 
we can certainly tailor the correlation curve to agree exactly with 
the QM predictions.

Of course, all of this is quite familiar to anyone who has ever 
thought about tests of Bell's inequalities.  It's understood that 
if our measurement efficiencies are low AND there is a systematic 
effect such that the recorded pairs are a biased sample, then the 
simple Bell inequalities are no longer relevant.  Furthermore, it's 
obvious that we can imagine realistic mechanisms that yield biases 
such that the simple QM correlations are reproduced within the 
biased sample.  The question is (and has always been) whether the 
hypothesis of such a bias is consistent with our observations.

Needless to say, if our measurements were affected by the type of 
bias described above we would expect to see the measurement efficiency 
reach a minimum at alpha = pi/2.  No such minimum appears in the 
data. (Aspect reported that although he found slight variations in 
his measurement efficiencies [versus alpha], the variations were not 
significant.)

Now, if we were really desperate, we might try to explain the absence 
of a minimum in the efficiency at alpha=pi/2 by assuming that the 
value of beta is pi for one of the measurements but something less 
than pi for the other, in which case our measurement efficiency would
be constant.  True enough, but this shows that in order to match a 
particular set of QM result we not only need to invoke a systematic 
bias in the measurement efficiencies, we need an *asymmetric* 
systematic bias, i.e., a bias that works on only one of the two 
particles in each coupled pair.  

Thus, we must imagine that when two particles emerge from a singlet 
state in opposite directions and interact with spin-measuring devices, 
one of them exhibits a definite spin when measured at any angle, but 
the other sometimes doesn't exhibit spin, if the measurement angle 
happens to be nearly perpindicular to its spin axis.  Admittedly most 
actual experiments have involved physically asymmetric emissions, but 
we would require not just any old asymmetry, but a very specific 
asymmetry, i.e., absolute perfection on one arm of the experiment 
and just the right amount of imperfection on the other arm to match 
the predictions of QM.  As John Gribbin nicely summarized in his 
popular book "In Search of Schrodinger's Cat",

  "It is still possible to argue that only the photons that 
   violate Bell's inequality are detected, and that the others 
   would obey the inequality, if only we could detect them.
   But ... it does seem like the height of desperation to
   make that argument."

Notice that, according to the logic of our naive realistic model,
we need to claim that particles with spins sufficiently near the
UP/DOWN boundary must simply disappear, i.e., they must not be 
counted at all, but this is really a non sequitur.  It's conceivable
that proximity to the UP/DOWN boundary might cause the particle to
exhibit NEITHER spin UP or DOWN characteristics, but this does not
imply that we would fails to detect the particle.  For example, in
a Stern-Gerlach apparatus if some of the particles exhibited no
spin UP or DOWN, they would arrive at the center of the screen,
but in fact when we perform such experiments (which have been down
countless times since the 1930's) we find that ALL the particles
are deflected either UP or DOWN.  Similar comments apply to the
polarization of photons.

So, what becomes of the naive "realistic spin" model?  It will
doubtless go on being re-discovered by every freshman Physics 
student - most of whom quickly discern its inadequacy, especially
when they attempt to integrate it with particles of differing spins,
and with other quantum interference effects such as those involved
in two-slit experiments, tests of the Stern-Gerlach effect, the 
photo-electric effect, black-body radiation, and so on, all of 
which are in fantastically precise agreement with modern quantum 
mechanics.  However, the most compelling factor for many students
ends up being the realization that, of all possible dependancies 
between spin correlations and relative measurement angles, there
is a unique dependancy that minimizes the net exhibited non-
conservation of spin for all possible interactions, and that
happens to be precisely the dependancy predicted by quantum 
mechanics.  Thus, if QM was wrong, it could be shown that the 
workings of nature are, in a very intuitively palpable sense,
arbitrarily defective.

For a related discussion, see
On the Cumulative Results of Quantum Measurements

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